The Development of Risk Assessment System for Accidental Oil Spill in the Northern Caspian Sea

The Development of Risk Assessment System for Accidental Oil Spill in the Northern Caspian Sea

Kairat Bostanbekov1,2, Daniyar Nurseitov2
COMPUTER MODELLING & NEW TECHNOLOGIES 2016 20(3) 35-41

1International University of Information Technologies (IUIT), Almaty, Kazakhstan
2Kazakh National Research Technical University (KazNRTU), Almaty, Kazakhstan

This article describes the development of a multifunctional geoinformation system RANDOM (Risk Assessment of Nature Detriment due to Oil spill Migration), realizing a multiprocessor calculation of probabilistic risk models to assess the negative impact of the oil spill on the biota of the North Caspian. The urgency of the problems associated with the development of oil fields in a very vulnerable shallow part of the Caspian Sea, where a major accident could have disastrous consequences. This article describes the development process from design to implementation to testing. The system is designed on the basis of service-oriented architecture (SOA), which allows for easy, flexible integration of services, and access them via the Internet. Through the use of SOA, the system can be expanded and upgraded. In this approach, the services may be located on physically different servers. Described in detail the process of parallel processing of large data set, shows the comparative tests on performance calculations. Tests have shown the benefit of using a supercomputer, it enables us to obtain a risk assessment for an adequate time. This system is designed for professionals in the field of ecology and mathematical modeling and subsoil oil fields on the continental shelf of the seas and oceans. RANDOM system as the final result of the decision of risk assessment tasks includes a series of calculation modules based on the methods of probability theory, computational mathematics, hydrodynamics, oil chemistry, marine biology, mathematical modeling and geoinformatics.